The Statistics

Recent Form

YORK CITY FC (1)

York’s recent form has seen them pick up 6 points in their last 5 games. The real problem they have had is drawing games. They have the most draws in the National League with 14. The team with the second most draws are Barrow and Eastleigh with 13 draws a piece. However both of these teams have picked up alot more wins and less defeats than City.

In the bottom 8 teams however they have lost the least games (15). Winning seems to be York’s main problem and if they can turn these draws into wins and hang onto some of the leads they have lost over the weeks against sides like Lincoln then York City will be a National League side next year.

Projected Table

relegation

This table is worked out based on the last 5 games each team has played. If every result repeats itself until the end of the season then York stay up by 1 on goal difference!

Granted, Eastleigh going down means they would have to get 2 points in their last 10 games. Which is possible with the form they are in, but realistically it’s going to take a miracle.  York need as many points as possible to put pressure on the teams in bad form.

Next Fixtures

hello-to-san-francisco-1

York are only playing 2 teams in the top 8 in their final 11 games and this is a massive positive considering they are in a relegation battle. Based upon current form it would go down right to the wire with a result against Forest Green dictating York’s position in the non league pyramid.

I think all York can do is carry out the job, get the wins they should be getting and let the other teams decide their fate. With teams like Guiseley and Maidstone in good form this could prove challenging however.

Gary Mills

millsvsmac

*Stats as of 3/3/17.

I posted on Twitter an info graphic of Mills vs McNamara which I found interesting that Jackie actually had a better win ratio this season. However McNamara only won 3 games while in charge of City whereas Mills has drawn a lot of his games since taking charge. One point is better than no points at the end of the day. Especially in a relegation battle.

*3 points would be fantastic however

I know a small section of frustrated supporters claimed they wanted Mils out a few weeks ago after other results not going our way. I’ve got to say I think Gary is definitely the man for the job. He has the passion, loves the football club, seems to have lifted the spirits of the players and has sorted out the bad eggs in the team. It’s a much better atmosphere behind closed doors.

Mills has brought in 15 new players to York City since his appointment, most of which are a crucial part of our current first team squad. Building a team when the season has already stated was always going to be a tough job.

My York City XI

 

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*Ruled Klukowski, Lappin, Oyebanjo etc. out as they are all injured.

The players Mills has brought in have done so well and seem to all be hard workers who are up for the fight. I could pick many players as front runners for player of the season.

Oliver looks like a new player coming back this year and completes the front three with Parkin and Morgan-Smith who have all been fantastic when I have seen them at home. Parkin will still be scoring goals in 2080.

Sean Newton for me has been a massive coup, Wrexham fans seemed to be in hysterics when we signed him but he has been a massive player for us with his leadership skills, passion and that lethal left peg.

Alex Whittle is a player I have always liked, he is so consistent and I love his attacking play from full back. He reminds me of a young Dan Simmonite. Thats probaly more of an insult than a complement.. but on a serious note he has been the most consistent player this season.

FA Trophy

For me the run in the FA trophy hasn’t been surprising as I consider us one of the top teams in the division – as well as one of few professional non league teams. It is possible to get relegated and win your domestic competition however. We have seen it with Wigan in 2013 and Halifax last year and York are close to replicating this.

FA Trophy odds (Skybet):

Lincoln – 11/8

Tranmere – 7/4

Macclesfield – 4/1

York – 13/2

York may have the worst odds to win the competition outright but I believe they can beat every team still in the competition. You have to beat the best to be the best and I’m hoping a win against Lincoln in the Semi-Finals will establish the confidence the team needs to go on and win the competition.

What if we get relegated?

I can’t say for sure but the main question will be what happens to the community stadium? Will York be able to fill a 8000 capacity stadium? Is it even financially viable for the football club if York are playing in the National League North?

Harrogate Town are turning full time professional status next year which means that York will not be the only professional team in the area. I’m wondering if Harrogate based York fans will change in favour of their home town?

The National League North seems to be a hard league to get out of with big clubs like Stockport County coupled with up and coming football clubs such as FC Utd and Salford Ciy.

None of the relegated teams last year (Welling, Kidderminster, Altringham or Halifax) are finding it easy. Altringham in particular are looking in the face of back to back relegation as they currently sit bottom of the National League North.

 

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